Weather Forecast Update: Low Pressure Area (January 12-18) - PH Trending

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Sunday, 15 January 2017

Weather Forecast Update: Low Pressure Area (January 12-18)

The Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Service Administration weather advisory - "tracking the sky helping the country".

Issued at: 5:00AM today, 19 January 2017

SYNOPSIS: Tail-end of a Cold Front affecting the eastern section of Visayas and Mindanao. Northeast Monsoon affecting Luzon.

Forecast: Cloudy skies with moderate to occasionally heavy rains and thunderstorms which may trigger flashfloods and landslides will be experienced over the regions of Central Visayas, Caraga, Northern Mindanao, Zamboanga Peninsula and the province of Southern Leyte. Cloudy skies with light to moderate rains and isolated thunderstorms is expected over the rest of Visayas and Mindanao and the province of Palawan. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains will prevail over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon.

Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast will prevail over the entirearchipelago withmoderate to rough seas.

FOR:TAIL-END OF A COLD FRONT ISSUED AT: 11:00 AM 18 January 2017

THE EFFECT OF TAIL-END OF A COLD FRONT OVER VISAYAS AND MINDANAO HAS WEAKENED. HOWEVER, CLOUDY SKIES WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL OVER VISAYAS, MINDANAO AND THE PROVINCE OF PALAWAN.

WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT, THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THE SAID WEATHER SYSTEM.

Issued at: 5:00AM today, 18 January 2017

SYNOPSIS: Tail-end of a cold front affecting Visayas and Eastern section of Mindanao. Northeast monsoon affecting Luzon.

Forecast: Cloudy skies with moderate to occasionally heavy rains and thunderstorms which may trigger flashfloods and landslides will be experienced over Caraga region. Cloudy skies with light to moderate rains and isolated thunderstorms is expected over visayas and the rest of mindanao. Cloudy Skies with light rains will be experienced over Cagayan Valley, Cordillera and the province of Aurora. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains will prevail over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon.

Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast will prevail over the whole archipelago withmoderate to rough seas.

FOR:TAIL-END OF A COLD FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE AREA (LPA)ISSUED AT: 11:00 AM 17 January 2017

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA (LPA) EAST NORTHEAST OF ZAMBOANGA CITY HAS DISSIPATED. MEANWHILE, THE TAIL-END OF A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING CLOUDY SKIES WITH MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER VISAYAS AND THE REGIONS OF NORTHERN MINDANAO AND CARAGA. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS ARE ALERTED AGAINST POSSIBLE FLASHFLOODS AND LANDSLIDES.

Cagayan de Oro Updates

Date:01-17-2017
Cagayan De Oro, heavily-battered by Typhoon "Sendong" in 2011, was forced to declare a state-of-calamity Tuesday as result of the severe rain and flooding it experienced again Monday, 01-16-2017.

According to NDRRMC, flooding in CDO affects 4,879 persons, forces evacuation of 3,911 others.

Evacuation Centers
  1. Bulua Covered Court in Barangay Bulua (27 families consisting of 117 individuals)
  2. Nazareth Covered Court (22 families with three families from Barangay Camaman-an)
  3. 4th Infantry Division Gymnasium in Patag (30 families or 120 individuals)
According to City DSWD rains displaced 31 families, destroyed two houses and damaged 29 others in Barangay Canitoan, and affected 20 families or 89 individuals in Barangay FS Catanico.

Residents living near the Cagayan de Oro River and Iponan River were advised to leave the area at about 8:20 p.m. Monday, particularly those from barangays (villages) Pagatpat, Tuburan, Tumpagon, Pigsag-an, Taglimao, Pagalungan, Lumbia, San Simon, Canitoan, Iponan and Bulua. (PNA, 01-17-2017)

The Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) has started providing assistance to the families affected by flooding.

The NDRRMC chief said they are still confirming reports that three persons were killed, and three others hurt and another one missing in Monday's heavy flooding.

Misamis Oriental Updates

Class Suspension, 01-17-2017: Pre-school, elementary and high school levels acccording to Governor Yevgeny Vincent Emano.

There is one fatality in Opol municipality, and one missing in Magsaysay town. The death is being confirmed.


Evacuation Updates

  1. Gingoog City, 47 families (231 individuals) from Barangay 23 were evacuated to the Gingoog City Comprehensive National High School
  2. 34 families (131 individuals) to the Talisay Elementary School
  3. five families (31 individuals) to the Talisay National High School
  4. 61 families (304 individuals) to the Santiago Barangay Hall
  5. 47 families (215 individuals) from Barangay 25 and four families (20 individuals) from Barangay Lunao to the ASL Gym
  6. 37 families (101 individuals) from Barangay 24A to the GCJC Evacuation Center

Iligan City, Lanao del Norte Updates


  1. 30 families were reportedly being housed temporarily at the Mahayahay Center
  2. 25 families at the Del Carmen Evacuation Center
  3. 35 families at the Ubaldo Evacuation Center
  4. 22 families at the San Roque Evacuation Center.
DSWD-Northern Mindanao has prepositioned relief aid for the provinces of Bukidnon, Camiguin, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, and Misamis Oriental.

Issued at: 5:00AM today, 17 January 2017

SYNOPSIS: At 4:00 AM today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on all available dataat 70 km East Northeast of Zamboanga City, Zamboanga del Sur(7.2N, 122.6E). Tail-end of a cold front affecting visayas.

Forecast: Cloudy skies with moderate to occasionally heavy rains and thunderstorms which may trigger flashfloods and landslides will be experienced over Eastern Visayas, Caraga, Northern Mindanao, Zamboanga Peninsula and the province of Bohol. Cloudy skies with light to moderate rains and isolated thunderstorms is expected over the rest of visayas and of mindanao. Cloudy Skies with light rains will prevail over Cagayan Valley, mimaropa, bicol region and provinces of Aurora and Quezon. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains will prevail over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon.

FOR:TAIL-END OF A COLD FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE AREA (LPA)ISSUED AT: 11:00 AM 16 January 2017

AT 10:00 AM TODAY, A LOW PRESSURE AREA (LPA) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA AT 130 KM WEST OF COTABATO CITY, MAGUINDANAO (7.4 ºN, 123.1 ºE). THIS WEATHER SYSTEM, ALONG WITH THE TAIL-END OF A COLD FRONT, WILL BRING CLOUDY SKIES WITH MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PALAWAN, VISAYAS, ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA AND NORTHERN MINDANAO. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS ARE ALERTED AGAINST POSSIBLE FLASHFLOODS AND LANDSLIDES.

ISSUED AT: 11:00 AM 16 January 2017

SYNOPSIS: THE LOW PRESSURE AREA (LPA) EAST NORTHEAST OF BORONGAN CITY, EASTERN SAMAR HAS DISSIPATED. MEANWHILE, PALAWAN, VISAYAS, ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA AND NORTHERN MINDANAO WILL HAVE CLOUDY SKIES WITH MODERATE TO OCASSIONALLY HEAVY RAINS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MAY TRIGGER FLASHFLOODS AND LANDSLIDES DUE TO THE TAIL-END OF A COLD FRONT.

Issued at: 5:00AM 16 January 2017

Synopsis: Issued at: 5:00AM today, 16 January 2017 SYNOPSIS:At 4:00 AM today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on all available data at100 km East Northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar(12.1N, 126.2E).Northeast Monsoon affecting Luzon.

Forecast: Cloudy skies with moderate to occasionally heavy rains and thunderstorms which may trigger flashfloods and landslides will be experienced over Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas. Cloudy skies with light to moderate rains and isolated thunderstorms is expected over the rest of Visayas and the provinces of Quezon, Marinduque and Romblon. Cloudy Skies with lights rains will prevail over Cordillera, Cagayan Valley and Aurora. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains will prevail over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms will prevail over Mindanao.

Issued at: 5:00PM 15 January 2017

SYNOPSIS:At 4:00 PM today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on all available data at270 km East Southeast of Legazpi City, Albay (12.2N, 126.0E).Northeast Monsoon affecting Northern and Central Luzon.

Forecast: Cloudy skies with moderate to occasionally heavy rains and thunderstorms which may trigger flashfloods and landslides will be experienced over Bicol Region and the province of Northern Samar. Cloudy skies with light to moderate rains and isolated thunderstorms is expected over the rest of Visayas and the provinces of Marinduque and Romblon. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains will prevail over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms will prevail over Mindanao. (PAG-ASA, 01-15-2017)

Issued at: 11:00AM 15 January 2017

AT 10:00 AM TODAY, THE LOW PRESSURE AREA (LPA) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA AT 335 KM EAST OF LEGAZPI CITY, ALBAY (12.8ºN, 126.8ºE). THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE PROVINCES OF CATANDUANES, ALBAY, SORSOGON, NORTHERN AND EASTERN SAMAR. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS ARE ALERTED AGAINST POSSIBLE FLASHFLOODS AND LANDSLIDES. MEANWHILE, LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REST OF VISAYAS AND OF BICOL REGION AND THE PROVINCES OF MARINDUQUE AND ROMBLON.

ISSUED AT: 11:00 AM 14 January 2017

AT 10:00 AM TODAY, THE LOW PRESSURE AREA (LPA) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA AT 125 KM EAST NORTHEAST OF CATARMAN, NORTHERN SAMAR (12.9ºN, 125.7ºE). THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAINS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER BICOL REGION AND THE PROVINCES OF NORTHERN SAMAR, EASTERN SAMAR AND SOUTHERN QUEZON. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS ARE ALERTED AGAINST POSSIBLE FLASHFLOODS AND LANDSLIDES. MEANWHILE, LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REST OF VISAYAS AND OVER THE PROVINCES OF MARINDUQUE, ROMBLON AND ORIENTAL MINDORO.

ISSUED AT: 11:00 AM 13 January 2017

AT 10:00 AM TODAY, THE LOW PRESSURE AREA (LPA) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA AT 280 KM EAST OF GUIUAN, EASTERN SAMAR (11.0ºN, 128.3ºE). THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO OCASSIONALLY HEAVY RAINS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER CATANDUANES, ALBAY, SORSOGON, SAMAR, NORTHERN SAMAR AND EASTERN SAMAR. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS ARE ALERTED AGAINST POSSIBLE FLASHFLOODS AND LANDSLIDES. MEANWHILE, LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PREVAIL OVER DINAGAT PROVINCE, NORTHERN CEBU INCLUDING BANTAYAN ISLAND, AND THE REST OF BICOL REGION AND OF EASTERN VISAYAS.

ISSUED AT: 11:00 AM 12 January 2017

AT 10:00 AM TODAY, THE LOW PRESSURE AREA (LPA) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA AT 780 KM EAST OF SURIGAO CITY, SURIGAO DEL NORTE (9.6ºN, 132.6ºE). THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO OCASSIONALLY HEAVY RAINS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER BICOL REGION AND EASTERN VISAYAS. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS ARE ALERTED AGAINST POSSIBLE FLASHFLOODS AND LANDSLIDES. MEANWHILE, LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PREVAIL OVER QUEZON, CARAGA REGION AND THE REST OF VISAYAS.


REMINDER: THE POSSIBILITY OF THIS LPA TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. HOWEVER, THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO CONTINUOUSLY MONITOR FOR UPDATES TO BE INCORPORATED IN THE 24-HOUR PUBLIC WEATHER FORECAST TO BE ISSUED AT 5:00 PM TODAY AND 5:00 AM TOMORROW, RESPECTIVELY, AND IN THE NEXT ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED AT 11:00 AM TOMORROW.

(SOURCE: PAG-ASA, January 2017)


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