SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #11
FOR:Tropical Depression Usman
Tropical Cyclone: WARNING
ISSUED AT:5:00 AM, 28 December 2018
TROPICAL DEPRESSION "USMAN" HAS MAINTAINED ITS COURSE AND HEADING TOWARDS EASTERN VISAYAS.
"USMAN" may intensify into a Tropical Storm prior to landfall over Eastern Samar tonight.
Moderate to heavy rains which may trigger flooding and landslides is expected over Visayas, Bicol Region, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, Romblon, and Quezon. Residents of these areas, especially those living near river channels and in low-lying and mountainous areas, are advised to take appropriate measures, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates.
Fisherfolks and those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over the seaboards of areas under TCWS #1, the seaboards of Northern Luzon, the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon, and the eastern seaboard of Surigao Provinces due to the approaching Tropical Depression and the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
"USMAN" may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility between Sunday evening (December 30) and Monday morning (December 31).
Location of eye/center: At 4:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Depression "USMAN" was estimated based on all available data at 285 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.7 °N, 128.3 °E)
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 65 km/h
Forecast Movement: Moving West Northwest at 10 km/h
Forecast Positions:
- 24 Hour(Tomorrow morning): 75 km West Southwest of Catbalogan City, Samar(11.6°N, 124.2°E)
- 48 Hour(Sunday morning):165 km North of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(11.2°N, 118.6°E)
- 72 Hour(Monday morning): 60 km Southeast of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(10.6°N, 114.5°E)
- 96 Hour(Tuesday morning):285 km West Southwest of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(10.0°N, 111.7°E)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL
#1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs)Northern Palawan incl Calamian group of Islands, Camarines Norte, Southern Quezon, Marinduque, Romblon, Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, including Ticao and Burias Islands, Southern Occidental Mindoro, Southern Oriental Mindoro, and Cuyo Eastern Samar, Northern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Northern Cebu including Camotes Islands, Aklan, Capiz, Iloilo,Guimaras, Antique, and Northern Negros Occidental Dinagat Island
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