PAGASA Weather Update for Severe Tropical Storm URSULA as of 5:00 AM 24 December 2019. - PH Trending

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Tuesday 24 December 2019

PAGASA Weather Update for Severe Tropical Storm URSULA as of 5:00 AM 24 December 2019.

ISSUED AT 5:00 AM, 24 December 2019
[UPDATED AS OF 8:00 AM] At 7:00 AM today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm URSULA {PHANFONE} was estimated based on all available data  including Guiuan Doppler Radar at 250 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.8 °N, 128.0 °E ), with maximum sustained winds of up to 100 km/h near the center and gustiness up to 125 km/h. It is moving West Northwest at 30 km/h.
  • Between today and tomorrow noon: Occasional to frequent heavy rains over Dinagat Islands, Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands, Eastern Visayas, Sorsogon, Masbate, northern and central Cebu, northern Negros Provinces, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Iloilo, Guimaras and Romblon. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over the rest of Bicol Region, Quezon, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, and the rest of Visayas and Surigao del Norte.
  • Between tomorrow noon and late evening: Occasional to frequent heavy rains over Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Romblon, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Batangas, and Calamian Islands. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over Cuyo Islands, Negros Provinces, Iloilo, Guimaras, Aurora, and the rest of CALABARZON.
  • Residents in these areas are advised to take appropriate measures to reduce the potential impact of flooding and rain-induced landslides, especially in areas identified to be highly to very highly susceptible to these hazards.
  • Tropical Cyclone Winds:
  • Moderate to strong winds to begin affecting Northeastern Mindanao and Eastern Visayas today; Bicol Region and portions of Central Visayas this afternoon or tonight; CALABARZON, and portions of MIMAROPA and Western Visayas tomorrow morning; Metro Manila, Bulacan, and Bataan tomorrow morning or afternoon. Medium to high-risk structures may experience light damage.
  • Damaging gale to storm-force winds to begin affecting areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #2 in Eastern Visayas this afternoon; in Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Romblon, Aklan, Capiz and portions of Antique, Iloilo, and northern Cebu tonight. This may bring light to moderate damage to high-risk structures and at most light damage to medium-risk structures.
  • Other Hazards and Warning Information:
  • "URSULA" is forecast make to landfall over Eastern Samar this afternoon or evening as a Severe Tropical Storm or Typhoon. As such, there remains a possibility that portions of Eastern Visayas will be placed under TCWS #3.
  • Suspension of maritime activities may be experienced in areas where TCWS is in effect.
  • Rough sea conditions will prevail starting today over the eastern seaboards of the country; this afternoon or tonight over the inland waters of Southern Luzon and Visayas; tomorrow afternoon over the western seaboards of Southern Luzon. Sea travel is risky over these areas.
Tropical Warning Signal

TCWS#2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
Romblon, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate including Burias and Ticao Islands Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Leyte, Biliran, extreme northern Cebu including Bantayan and Camotes Islands (Bantayan, Madridejos, Santa Fe, Daanbantayan, Medellin, San Remigio, Bogo City, Tabogon, Tabuelan, Borbon, San Francisco, Poro, Tudela, Pilar), northeastern Iloilo (Carles, Balasan, Estancia, Batad, San Dionisio, Sara, Concepcion, Lemery, Ajuy), northern Antique (Libertad, Pandan, Sebaste, Culasi, Tibiao), Capiz, and Aklan

TCWS#1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Bulacan, Bataan, Metro Manila, Rizal, Cavite, Quezon, Laguna, Batangas, Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, Catanduanes, Marinduque, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island, Oriental Mindoro, Calamian Islands, and Cuyo Islands Southern Leyte, the rest of northern Cebu (Carmen, Asturias, Tuburan, Catmon, Sogod), Central Cebu (Aloguinsan, Carcar City, Pinamungahan, San Fernando, Naga City, Toledo City, Minglanilla, Balamban, Talisay City, Cebu City, Cordova, Lapu-Lapu City, Mandaue City, Consolacion, Liloan, Compostela, Danao City), northeastern Bohol (Inabanga, Danao, Dagohoy, Pilar, Guindulman, Anda, Candijay, Alicia, Buenavista, Jetafe, Talibon, Trinidad, Bien Unido, San Miguel, Ubay, Mabini, Pres. Carlos P. Garcia), the rest of Antique, the rest of Iloilo, Guimaras, northern Negros Occidental (Bacolod City, Bago City, Cadiz City, Calatrava, Enrique B. Magalona, Escalante City, La Carlota City, La Castellana, Manapla, Moises Padilla, Binalbagan, Hinigaran, Isabela, Murcia, Pontevedra, Pulupandan, Sagay City, Salvador Benedicto, San Carlos City, San Enrique, Silay City, Talisay City, Toboso, Valladolid, Victorias City), and northern Negros Oriental (Canlaon City, Guihulngan City, Jimalalud, La Libertad, Vallehermoso) Dinagat Islands, and Surigao del Norte including Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands

Forecast Position
24 Hour(Tomorrow morning): In the vicinity of Balud, Masbate(12°N, 123.2°E)
48 Hour(Thursday morning):225 km Northwest of Coron, Palawan(13.4°N, 118.7°E)
72 Hour(Friday morning): 415 km West of Subic, Zambales(14.3°N, 116.5°E)
96 Hour(Saturday morning):580 km West of Subic, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)(14.6°N, 114.9°E)
120 Hour(Sunday morning):870 km West of Subic, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)(15.0°N, 112.2°E)

Eastern Visayas, Sorsogon, Masbate, Mindoro, Marinduque and Romblon will experience Stormy condition due to STS URSULA. Possible flash floods and landslides due to scattered moderate to heavy rains.

Metro Manila, CALABARZON, rest of Bicol region, rest of Visayas, Bataan, Dinagat Island, Siargao and Surigao del Norte will experience Rains with Gusty winds due to STS URSULA. Possible flash floods and landslides due to scattered moderate to heavy rains.

The rest of the country will experience Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers due to Easterlies/Localized Thunderstorms. Possible flash floods and landslides during severe thunderstorms.


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