PAGASA Weather Update for Tropical Storm URSULA as of 5:00 PM 23 December 2019.

ISSUED AT 5:00 PM, 23 December 2019 TROPICAL STORM "URSULA" SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS EASTERN VISAYAS.
At 3:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm URSULA {PHANFONE} was estimated based on all available data at 695 km East of Surigao City, Surigao del Norte (10.2 °N, 131.8 °E), with maximum sustained winds of up to 75 km/h near the center and gustiness up to 90 km/h. It is moving West Northwest at 30 km/h.

• Between tomorrow afternoon and Wednesday (25 December) morning: Moderate to heavy rains over Dinagat Islands, Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands, Eastern Visayas, Romblon, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Iloilo, and the northern portions of Cebu and Negros Occidental. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over Bicol Region, Quezon, Marinduque and the rest of Visayas and Surigao del Norte.
• Between Wednesday morning and late evening: Moderate to heavy rains over Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, Romblon, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, and northern portion of Palawan inlcuding Cuyo and Calamian Islands. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over CALABARZON.
• Residents in these areas are advised to take appropriate measures to reduce the potential impact of flooding and rain-induced landslides, especially in areas identified to be highly to very highly susceptible to these hazards.
• Strong Winds:
• Damaging winds associated with this Tropical Storm may begin to affect the areas under TCWS #2 tomorrow afternoon. This may bring light to moderate to high risk structures.
• Strong winds may begin to affect: northeastern Mindanao and the rest of Eastern Visayas tomorrow morning; southern portion of Bicol Region and some portions of Central Visayas tomorrow afternoon; some portions of Western Visayas tomorrow evening. This may bring light damage to medium to high-risk structures.
• Other Hazards and Information:
• "URSULA" is forecast to gradually intensify to at most Severe Tropical Storm category prior to landfall over Eastern Visayas tomorrow afternoon or evening.
• Suspension of maritime activities may be experienced in areas where Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) is in effect. TCWS#1 may be raised over Oriental Mindoro in the next Severe Weather Bulletin.
• Moderate to rough seas will prevail over the eastern seaboards of the country today. However, rough to very rough seas may be experienced over the northern and eastern seaboards of Bicol Region and the eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas and Caraga Region beginning tonight or tomorrow morning. As such, sea travel is risky over these areas, especially for those using small seacrafts.

Tropical Cyclone Advisory THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION EAST OF MINDANAO INTENSIFIES INTO A TROPICAL STORM WITH INTERNATIONAL NAME "PHANFONE".
"PHANFONE" has no direct effect on any part of the country at the moment. It may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) between tonight and tomorrow (23 December) morning and will be named "URSULA". The Tropical Storm is forecast to make landfall over Eastern Visayas-Caraga area on Tuesday (24 December) evening. Then, it will traverse the Visayas area. Beginning Tuesday (24 December), moderate to occasionally heavy rains may prevail over Visayas and northeastern Mindanao. The international name "PHANFONE" (meaning: an animal) was contributed by Laos.
Forecast Position 24 Hour(Tomorrow afternoon): 75 km East Northeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar(11.2°N, 126.4°E) 48 Hour(Wednesday afternoon):20 km Southwest of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro(12.3°N, 120.9°E) 72 Hour(Thursday afternoon): 355 km West Southwest of Subic, Zambales(13.5°N, 117.3°E) 96 Hour(Friday afternoon):515 km West of Subic, Zambales(14.1°N, 115.6°E) 120 Hour(Saturday afternoon):745 km West of Subic, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)(14.4°N, 113.4°E)
REGIONAL FORECAST: Eastern Visayas, Caraga, Albay, Sorsogon, and Masbate will experience Cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms due to TS URSULA. Possible flash floods and landslides due to scattered moderate to heavy rains.
Metro Manila and the rest of the country will experience Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers due to Easterlies/Localized Thunderstorms. Possible flash floods and landslides during severe thunderstorms
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