PAGASA raises Signal No 4 for Typhoon "Rolly" as of 8:00 PM 31 October 2020.

Issued at 8:00 PM, 31 OCTOBER 2020

SYNOPSIS: TYPHOON "ROLLY" MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT THREATENS BICOL REGION.

At 7:00 PM today, the eye of Typhoon "ROLLY" was located based on all available data at 280 km East Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes (14.3 °N, 126.7 °E ), moving West Southwestward at 20 km/h with maximum sustained winds of 215 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 265 km/h

Track and intensity outlook:

Track: On the forecast track, the center of the eye of the typhoon is likely to make landfall over Catanduanes tomorrow early morning, then it will pass over mainland Camarines Provinces tomorrow morning, and over mainland Quezon tomorrow afternoon. Violent winds and intense rainfall associated with the inner rainband-eyewall region will be experienced over Catanduanes, Camarines Provinces tomorrow early morning through afternoon and over Quezon tomorrow afternoon through evening. After crossing the Southern Luzon - Metro Manila area, the center of "ROLLY" is forecast to exit the mainland Luzon landmass on Monday early morning.

Intensity: "ROLLY" is likely to remain a typhoon category (185-215 km/h) by the time it makes landfall. While traversing over Luzon, "ROLLY" is forecast to weaken considerably and emerge as a severe tropical storm or minimal typhoon over the West Philippine Sea.

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 4

Luzon: Catanduanes and the eastern portion of Camarines Sur (Siruma, Tinambac, Goa, Lagonoy, San Jose, Garchitorena, Presentacion, Caramoan)

- A very intense typhoon will affect the locality.

Winds of greater than 171 km/h up to 220 km/h may be expected in at least 12 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 3

Luzon

Camarines Norte, the rest of Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Burias and Ticao Islands, Marinduque, and the southern portion of Quezon (Atimonan, Pagbilao, Padre Burgos, Agdangan, Unisan, Plaridel, Gumaca, Pitogo, Macalelon, Lopez, General Luna, Catanauan, Mulanay, San Francisco, San Andres, San Narciso, Buenavista, Guinayangan, Tagkawayan, Calauag, Quezon, Alabat, Perez)

Visayas: Northern Samar

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 2

Luzon

Pampanga, Bulacan, the southern portion of Nueva Ecija (Cabiao, San Isidro, Gapan City, General Tinio, Peñaranda, San Antonio, Jaen, San Leonardo, Santa Rosa, Cabanatuan City, Palayan City, Laur, Gabaldon, Bongabon), the southern portion of Zambales (San Marcelino, San Felipe, San Narciso, San Antonio, Castillejos, Subic, Olongapo City), Bataan, Metro Manila, Rizal, Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, the southern portion of Aurora (Maria Aurora, San Luis, Baler, Dingalan), the rest of Quezon including Polillo Islands, the rest of Masbate, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, and Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island

Visayas

The northern portion of Samar (Catbalogan City, Jiabong, Motiong, Paranas, Hinabangan, San Sebastian, Tarangnan, San Jorge, San Jose de Buan, Matuguinao, Gandara, Santa Margarita, Calbayog City, Santo Nino, Almagro, Tagapul-An), the northern portion of Eastern Samar (San Julian, Sulat, Taft, Can-Avid, Dolores, Maslog, Oras, San Policarpo, Arteche, Jipapad), the extreme northern portion of Antique (Pandan, Libertad, Caluya), and the northwestern portion of Aklan (Buruanga, Malay, Nabas, Ibajay)

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 1

Luzon

The rest of Zambales, Tarlac, the rest of Nueva Ecija, the rest of Aurora, Pangasinan, La Union, the southern portion of Ilocos Sur (Quirino, Gregorio Del Pilar, Salcedo, San Emilio, Candon City, Galimuyod, Santa Lucia, Cervantes, Sigay, Santa Cruz, Suyo, Tagudin, Alilem, Sugpon), Mountain Province, Benguet, Ifugao, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, the central and southern portions of Isabela (Mallig, Quirino, Ilagan, Roxas, San Manuel, Burgos, Gamu, Palanan, San Mariano, Benito Soliven, Naguilian, Reina Mercedes, Luna, Aurora, Cabatuan, San Mateo, Cauayan City, Dinapigue, San Guillermo, Echague, San Agustin, Jones, Angadanan, Alicia, San Isidro, Ramon, Santiago City, Cordon), and Calamian Islands

Visayas

Biliran, the northern portion of Antique (Sebaste, Culasi), the rest of Aklan, the northern portion of Capiz (Jamindan, Mambusao, Sapi-An, Ivisan, Roxas City, Panay, Pilar, Sigma, Dao, Panitan, Pontevedra, President Roxas), and the northern portion of Iloilo (Carles, Balasan, Estancia, Batad)

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Sources:
[1] DOST-PAGASA: http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/weather#daily-weather-forecast
[2] Windy Motion Graph: https://www.windy.com/?14.628,121.046,