PAGASA Weather Forecast Update for TD "Tonyo" as of 8:00 PM - 07 November 2020.

Issued at 8:00 PM, 7 NOVEMBER 2020

Latest Update as of 11:00 PM: At 10:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression "TONYO" was estimated based on all available data In the vicinity of Monreal, Masbate (12.6 °N, 123.6 °E ) with Maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 75 km/h moving Westward at 25 km/h. 

At 8:00 PM tonight, the Low Pressure Area west of Sorsogon developed into Tropical Depression #TonyoPH

Track and Intensity Outlook

The center of Tropical Depression has "TONYO" made landfall over the northern portion of Ticao Island at around 9:00 PM today. This tropical depression is forecast to move rapidly westward within the next 12 hours and its center is likely to pass close or over the vicinity of Masbate, Romblon, and Mindoro Provinces. It is forecast to emerge over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow morning. On the forecast track, the tropical depression may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Monday morning.

Hazards affecting land areas

Heavy rainfall: Tonight through tomorrow, "TONYO" will bring moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Bicol Region, CALABARZON, Marinduque, Romblon, Mindoro Provinces, Aurora, and the eastern sections of mainland Cagayan and Isabela. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains will also be experienced over Metro Manila and the rest of the country.

Forecast Position

24 Hour(Tomorrow evening): 435 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro(13.0 °N, 117.2 °E)

48 Hour(Monday evening):1,105 km West of Southern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)( 12.8 °N, 111.0 °E)

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 1

AFFECTED AREAS

Luzon

Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, the central and southern portions of Quezon (Mauban, Sampaloc, Lucban, Dolores, Tiaong, San Antonio, Candelaria, Sariaya, Tayabas City, Lucena City, Pagbilao, Atimonan, Padre Burgos, Agdangan, Unisan, Plaridel, Pitogo, Macalelon, General Luna, Catanauan, Mulanay, San Francisco, San Andres, San Narciso, Buenavista, Guinayangan, Tagkawayan, Calauag, Lopez, Gumaca, Alabat, Quezon, Perez), the central and southern portions of Cavite (Dasmariñas, General Trias, Tanza, Naic, Ternate, Maragondon, Magallanes, General Emilio Aguinaldo, Alfonso, Mendez, Trece Martires City, Indang, Amadeo, Silang, Tagaytay City, Carmona, General Mariano Alvarez), the central and southern portions of Laguna (San Pedro, Biñan, Santa Rosa City, Cabuyao, Calamba City, Los Baños, Bay, Calauan, Alaminos, San Pablo City, Rizal, Nagcarlan, Victoria, Pila, Santa Cruz, Pagsanjan, Lumban, Kalayaan, Cavinti, Luisiana, Majayjay, Liliw, Magdalena), Batangas, Marinduque, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island, and Calamian Islands

Visayas

The western portion of Northern Samar (Silvino Lobos, Pambujan, San Roque, Mondragon, Lope de Vega, Catarman, Bobon, San Jose, Rosario, Lavezares, Allen, Victoria, San Isidro, Biri, San Antonio, Capul, San Vicente), the northern portion of Samar (Pagsanghan, Gandara, Santa Margarita, Calbayog City, Santo Nino, Almagro, Tagapul-An), the northwestern portion of Aklan (Ibajay, Tangalan, Makato, Numancia, Nabas, Malay), and the northern portion of Antique (Pandan, Libertad, Caluya)

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Sources:
[1] DOST-PAGASA: http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/weather#daily-weather-forecast
[2] Windy Motion Graph: https://www.windy.com/?14.628,121.046,