PAGASA Weather Forecast Update for Typhoon "Ulysses" as of 5:00 PM - 11 November 2020.

Issued at 5:00 PM, 12 NOVEMBER 2020

TYPHOON "ULYSSES" CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT THREATENS THE QUEZON-AURORA AREA.

Synopsis: At 4:00 PM today, the center of the eye of Typhoon "ULYSSES" was located based on all available data including Baler and Daet Doppler Radar at 60 km East Northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte (14.4 °N, 123.4 °E ) with maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 195 km/h moving Westward at 20 km/h.

Track and intensity outlook:

Track: On the forecast track, “ULYSSES” will move generally westward throughout the forecast period and pass over the seas north of Camarines Provinces between this afternoon and evening. The center of “ULYSSES” is forecast to make landfall or close approach in the vicinity of Calaguas Islands within 3 hours, then over Polillo Islands and mainland Quezon between tonight and tomorrow early morning. Afterwards, “ULYSSES” will cross Central Luzon and emerge over the western seaboard of Zambales tomorrow morning.

Intensity: “ULYSSES” may reach its peak intensity of 140-155 km/h prior to landfall. “ULYSSES” may slightly weaken as it crosses mainland Luzon due to frictional effects in the presence of the Sierra Madre and Zambales Mountain Ranges. However, it is likely to remain a typhoon throughout its traverse.

Forecast Position

24 Hour(Tomorrow afternoon): 170 km West of Iba, Zambales(15.3°N, 118.4°E)

48 Hour(Friday afternoon):600 km West of Iba, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)( 15.3°N, 114.4°E)

72 Hour(Saturday afternoon): 1,030 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)( 15.5°N, 110.4°E)

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 3

Luzon

The southern portion of Quirino (Maddela, Nagtipunan), the southern portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Alfonso Castaneda, Dupax Del Norte, Dupax Del Sur), Pangasinan, Nueva Ecija, Aurora, Tarlac, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Rizal, Cavite, Laguna, the northern and central portions of Quezon (General Nakar, Infanta, Real, Mauban, Sampaloc, Lucban, Tayabas City, Sariaya, Candelaria, Dolores, Tiaong, San Antonio, Lucena City, Pagbilao, Atimonan, Padre Burgos, Unisan, Agdangan, Gumaca, Plaridel, Pitogo, Macalelon, Lopez, General Luna, Catanauan, Buenavista, Guinayangan, Tagkawayan, Calauag, Quezon, Alabat, Perez) including Polillo Islands, Batangas, Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, the northern portion of Camarines Sur (Del Gallego, Ragay, Lupi, Sipocot, Cabusao, Bombon, Calabanga, Tinambac, Siruma, Goa, Lagonoy, San Jose, Garchitorena, Presentacion, Caramoan)

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 2

Luzon

The rest of Quirino, the rest of Nueva Vizcaya, the southern portion of Benguet (Bokod, Itogon, Tublay, La Trinidad, Sablan, Baguio City, Tuba), the southern portion of La Union (Burgos, Naguilian, Bauang, Caba, Aringay, Tubao, Pugo, Santo Tomas, Rosario, Agoo), the rest of Quezon, Marinduque, the northern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Paluan, Abra de Ilog) including Lubang Island, the northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Pola, Victoria, Naujan, Baco, Calapan City, San Teodoro, Puerto Galera), the rest of Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, and Burias and Ticao Islands

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 1

Luzon

Isabela, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, the rest of Benguet, Abra, Ilocos Sur, the rest of La Union, the rest of Occidental Mindoro, the rest of Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, and the rest of Masbate

Visayas

Northern Samar, the northern portion of Samar (Santo Nino, Almagro, Tagapul-An, Tarangnan, Calbayog City, Santa Margarita, Gandara, Pagsanghan, San Jorge, San Jose de Buan, Matuguinao), and the northern portion of Eastern Samar (Maslog, Dolores, Oras, San Policarpo, Arteche, Jipapad)

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Sources:
[1] DOST-PAGASA: http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/weather#daily-weather-forecast
[2] Windy Motion Graph: https://www.windy.com/?14.628,121.046,