PAG-ASA Weather Update - issued 5:00 AM today, 16 December 2017. - PH Trending

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Saturday, 16 December 2017

PAG-ASA Weather Update - issued 5:00 AM today, 16 December 2017.

PAGASA TRACKING FORECAST as of 5:00 AM, 16 December 2017
As of 5:00 AM today, 16 December 2017 - "URDUJA" HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED AND IS NOW BEGINNING TO MOVE CLOSER TOWARDS SAMAR ISLAND.



Issued at 11:00 PM today, "URDUJA" HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED WHILE OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF SAMAR PROVINCE. At 10:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm "URDUJA" was estimated based on all available data at In the vicinity of San Jose de Buan, Samar (12.1 °N, 125.1 °E) with maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 110 kph moving West at 13 kph.
  • Scattered to widespread rains will continue over Central and Western Visayas, Bicol Region, Southern Quezon, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, Romblon and Cuyo Islands and is expected to prevail over Northern Palawan including Calamian Group of Islands. Residents of these areas must undertake appropriate measures against flooding and landslides and coordinate with their local disaster risk reduction and management offices. Meanwhile, rains over Eastern Visayas is forecast to gradually weaken.
  • Sea travel remains risky over the seaboards of areas under Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals.
  • Meanwhile, the Tropical Depression outside the PAR was estimated based on all available data at 2,275 km East of Mindanao (4.4°N, 146.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 40 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 50 km/h.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL



#2 (61-120kph expected in 24 hrs) Wave Height: (Open Sea) 4.1-14.0 meters Coastal flooding is possible
Luzon: Sorsogon, Masbate including Ticao Island, Romblon, and Cuyo Islands
Visayas: Northern Samar, Northern part of Samar, Biliran, Aklan, Capiz, Northern Antique, and Northern Iloilo

#1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs) 

Luzon: Southern Quezon, Marinduque, Southern part of Occidental Mindoro, Southern part of Oriental Mindoro Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Albay, Burias Island, and Northern Palawan including Calamian Group of Islands

Visayas: Rest of Iloilo, Rest of Antique, Guimaras, Negros Occidental, Northern part of Negros Oriental, Northern Cebu, Leyte, Eastern Samar, and Rest of Samar

Forecast Positions:

PAGASA TRACKING FORECAST as of 11:00 PM, 16 December 2017
  • 24 Hour(Tomorrow evening): 115 km East Northeast of Cuyo, Palawan(11.4°N, 121.9°E)
  • 48 Hour(Monday evening):145 km North of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(11.0°N, 118.5°E)
  • 72 Hour(Tuesday evening): 345 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(9.9°N, 115.6°E)
  • 96 Hour(Wednesday evening):650 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(8.9°N, 112.9°E)
Other Updates:

Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) - Stranded Count as of 8PM today, 16 December:

- Passengers–15,428 Vessels– 133, Rolling Cargoes-1,651 and motor bancas-97.

Philippine Ports Authority, PMO Mindoro: Trip Advisory Updates

- Southern Part of Oriental and Occidental Mindoro are still at Signal No. 1, therefore trips at the Ports of Roxas, Bulalacao and San Jose are still cancelled. Resumption of trips at the Ports of Calapan, Puerto Galera and Abra de Ilog is at the discretion of the PHILIPPINE COAST GUARD.



=====
Issued at 8:00 PM today, "URDUJA" CONTINUES TO TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN PART OF SAMAR PROVINCE. At 7:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm "URDUJA" was estimated based on all available data at In the vicinity of San Jorge, Samar (12.0 °N, 124.8 °E) with maximum sustained winds of 75 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 120 kph moving West at 15 kph.
  • Scattered to widespread rains will continue over Central and Western Visayas, Bicol Region, Southern Quezon, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, Romblon and Cuyo Islands and is expected to prevail over Northern Palawan including Calamian Goup of Islands. Residents of these areas must undertake appropriate measures against flooding and landslides and coordinate with their local disaster risk reduction and management offices. Meanwhile, rains over Eastern Visayas is forecast to gradually weaken.
  • Sea travel remains risky over the seaboards of areas under Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals.
  • Meanwhile, the Tropical Depression outside the PAR was estimated based on all available data at 2,330 km East of Mindanao (4.4°N, 147.0°E).

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL


#2 (61-120kph expected in 24 hrs) Wave Height: (Open Sea) 4.1-14.0 meters. Coastal flooding is possible. 

Luzon: Sorsogon, Masbate including Ticao Island, Romblon, and Cuyo Islands

Visayas: Northern Samar, Northern part of Samar, Biliran, Aklan, Capiz, Northern Antique, and Northern Iloilo

#1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs) Wave Height: (Open Sea) 1.25-4.0 meters

Luzon: Southern Quezon, Marinduque, Southern part of Occidental Mindoro, Southern part of Oriental Mindoro Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Albay, Burias Island, and Northern Palawan including Calamian Group of Islands

Visayas: Rest of Iloilo, Rest of Antique, Guimaras, Negros Occidental, Northern part of Negros Oriental, Northern Cebu, Leyte, Eastern Samar, and Rest of Samar

Forecast Positions:

PAGASA TRACKING FORECAST as of 8:00 PM, 16 December 2017
  • 24 Hour(Tomorrow afternoon): 105 km Northeast of Cuyo, Palawan(11.6°N, 121.6°E)
  • 48 Hour(Monday afternoon):145 km North Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(10.9°N, 118.2°E)
  • 72 Hour(Tuesday afternoon): 325 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(10.1°N, 115.8°E)
  • 96 Hour(Wednesday afternoon):600 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(9.3°N, 113.3°E)

Issued at 5:00 PM today, TS "URDUJA" HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED AND IS NOW TRAVERSING THE NORTHERN PART OF SAMAR PROVINCE. At 4:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm "URDUJA" was estimated based on all available data at In the vicinity of San Jose de Buan, Samar (12.1 °N, 125.1 °E) with maximum sustained winds of 75 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 120 kph moving West at 15 kph.
  1. Scattered to widespread moderate to heavy rains will continue over Bicol Region and Visayas and is expected to prevail over Southern Quezon, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque and Romblon. Residents of these areas must undertake appropriate measures against flooding and landslides and coordinate with their local disaster risk reduction and management offices.
  2. Sea travel remains risky over the seaboards of areas under Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal.
  3. NEW: Tropical Depression outside PAR (4.8°N, 144.8°E) 2,135 km. East of Mindanao - If it does develop into a tropical storm and enter the Philippine area of responsibility, the LPA will be called Vinta, said Engr. Oscar Tabada, PAGASA Visayas director.  (SUNSTAR)
  4. Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal elsewhere are now lifted.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL

#2 (61-120kph expected in 24 hrs) Wave Height: (Open Sea) 4.1-14.0 meters. Coastal flooding is possible. 
Luzon: Sorsogon and Masbate including Ticao Islands and Romblon.
Visayas: Northern Samar, Northern part of Eastern Samar, Northern part of Samar, Biliran, Antique, Aklan, Capiz and Northern Iloilo

#1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs) 
Luzon: Southern Quezon, Marinduque, Southern part of Occidental Mindoro, Southern part of Oriental Mindoro Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Albay , Burias Island, Northern Palawan and Cuyo Island Calamian Group of Islands
Visayas
Mindanao: none
PAGASA TRACKING FORECAST as of 5:00 PM, 16 December 2017

Forecast Positions:


  • 24 Hour(Tomorrow afternoon): 95 km West of Roxas City, Capiz(11.6°N, 121.9°E)
  • 48 Hour(Monday afternoon):135 km North of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(10.9°N, 118.5°E)
  • 72 Hour(Tuesday afternoon): 240 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(9.5°N, 116.2°E)
  • 96 Hour(Wednesday afternoon):560 km West Southwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(8.5°N, 113.8°E)
=====
Issued at 2:00 PM today, TS "URDUJA" HAS MADE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF SAN POLICARPIO, EASTERN SAMAR. At 1:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm "URDUJA" was estimated based on all available data at In the vicinity of San Policarpio, Eastern Samar (12.2 °N, 125.3 °E) with maximum sustained winds of 80 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 110 kph moving West at 15 kph.
  • Scattered to widespread moderate to heavy rains will continue over Bicol Region and Visayas and is expected to prevail over Southern Quezon, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque and Romblon. Residents of these areas must undertake appropriate measures against flooding and landslides and coordinate with their local disaster risk reduction and management offices.
  • Sea travel remains risky over the seaboards of areas under Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL

#2 (61-120kph expected in 24 hrs) Wave Height: (Open Sea) 4.1-14.0 meters. Coastal flooding is possible. 
Luzon: Albay, Sorsogon and Masbate including Burias and Ticao Islands and Romblon
Visayas: Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Aklan, Capiz and Northen Iloilo

#1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs) 

Luzon: Southern Quezon, Mindoro, Marinduque, Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Cuyo Islands and Calamian Group of Islands
Visayas: Antique, Rest of Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Occidental, Northern Negros Oriental, Cebu, Northern Bohol, and Southern Leyte
Mindanao: Dinagat Islands

PAGASA TRACKING FORECAST as of 2:00 PM, 16 December 2017

Forecast Positions:

  • 24 Hour(Tomorrow morning): 85 km West of Roxas City, Capiz(11.7°N, 122.0°E)
  • 48 Hour(Monday morning):145 km North of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(11.0°N, 118.5°E)
  • 72 Hour(Tuesday morning): 305 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(10.2°N, 116.0°E)
  • 96 Hour(Wednesday morning):580 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(9.2°N, 113.5°E)
======
At 10:00 AM today,  TS "URDUJA" HAS SLIGHTLY ACCELERATED AND IS NOW THREATENING SAMAR AND SORSOGON AREA.
The center of Tropical Storm "URDUJA" was estimated based on all available data at 75 km North Northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar or 120 km East Southeast of Catarman, Northern (12.2 °N, 125.7 °E)
  • Expected to make landfall over Northern Samar - Eastern Samar area this afternoon.
  • Scattered to widespread moderate to heavy rains will continue over Bicol Region and Visayas and is expected to prevail over Southern Quezon, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque and Romblon. Residents of these areas must undertake appropriate measures against flooding and landslides and coordinate with their local disaster risk reduction and management offices.
  • Sea travel remains risky over the seaboards of areas under Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal.
======
At 7:00 AM today, "URDUJA" CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD CLOSER TO NORTHERN SAMAR-EASTERN SAMAR AREA. The center of Tropical Storm "URDUJA" was estimated based on all available data including Guiuan Doppler Radar at 125 km East Northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar (12.2 °N, 126.4 °E). 
  • Expected to make landfall over Northern Samar - Eastern Samar area this afternoon or evening.
  • Possible raising of Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal (TWCS) #1 over Mindoro Provinces, Batangas, Cuyo Islands, and Calamian Group of Islands within 3 hours.
  • Scattered to widespread moderate to heavy rains will continue over Bicol Region and Visayas and is expected to prevail over Southern Quezon, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque and Romblon. Residents of these areas must undertake appropriate measures against flooding and landslides and coordinate with their local disaster risk reduction and management offices.
  • Sea travel remains risky over the seaboards of areas under Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal.
At 4:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm "URDUJA" was estimated based on all available data including Guiuan Doppler Radar at 180 km East Northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar (12.1 °N, 127.0 °E) with maximum sustained winds of 80 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 95 kph moving West Northwest at 10 kph.
  • Expected to make landfall over Northern Samar - Eastern Samar area today.
  • Estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to heavy within the 500 km diameter of the Tropical Storm.
  • Possible raising of Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal (TWCS) #1 over Mindoro Provinces and Cuyo Islands within 6 hours.
  • Scattered to widespread rains will continue over Bicol Region and Visayas and is expected to prevail over Southern Quezon, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque and Romblon. Residents of these areas must undertake appropriate measures against flooding and landslides and coordinate with their respective local disaster risk reduction and management offices.
  • Sea travel remains risky over the seaboards of areas under Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal. 

Forecast Positions:

  • 24 Hour(Tomorrow morning): In the vicinity of Las Navas, Northern Samar(12.3°N, 125°E)
  • 48 Hour(Monday morning):80 km North Northeast of Cuyo, Palawan(11.5°N, 121.3°E)
  • 72 Hour(Tuesday morning): 155 km North Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(11.0°N, 118.2°E)
  • 96 Hour(Wednesday morning):355 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan(9.8°N, 115.5°E)
  • 120 Hour(Thursday morning):665 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(8.7°N, 112.8°E)

Forecast Weather Conditions for 16, December 2017.

TS"URDUJA" will bring stormy condition in Eastern Visayas, Sorsogon and Masbate.

The rest of Bicol Region, Romblon, Marinduque, Cebu, Capiz, Aklan, Northern Iloilo and Dinagat Islands will experience rains with gusty winds.

TS"URDUJA" will bring Cloudy skies withscattered rainshowers and thunderstorms in The rest of Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, CARAGA, CALABARZON and the provinces of Mindoro and Palawan.

Northeast Monsoon will bring Cloudy skies with scattered rains in Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon.

The rest of Mindanao will experience Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms due to Localized thunderstorms

No significant .

Gale Warning: STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURGE OF NORTHEAST MONSOON. 

STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
Expect Cloudy skies with light rains and a rough to very rough sea condition, wind force of 52-63 kph/28-34 knots and wave height of 2.8 to 4.5 meters in the SEABOARDS OF NORTHERN LUZON and CENTRAL LUZON (Batanes, Calayan, Babuyan, Cagayan, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Isabela, Aurora, Zambales and Bataan).

Cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms with a rough to very rough sea condition, wind force of 52-63 kph/28-34 knots and wave height of 2.8 to 4.5 meters will be observed in the EASTERN SEABOARDS OF SOUTHERN LUZON and MINDANAO
(Eastern coast of Quezon including Polilio Island, Surigao provinces and Siargao Island).

New LPA is near Philippine Area of Responsibility - PAR.

PAGASA DOST | Satellite Images as of 7:30 AM, 16 December 2017 via HIMAWARI

Continue Reading: PAG-ASA Weather Update for New Tropical Depression outside PAR - 16 December 2017.
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